Showing posts with label Congress. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Congress. Show all posts

Friday, July 31, 2009

Cash for Clunkers: A Failure of Big Government

As we are now hearing, the much anticipated "Cash for Clunkers" program is running out of money faster than ever expected. Many are touting this as evidence of the program's incredible success. The truth of the matter is, however, that this program will become an abject failure as it will fail to meet the goals of economic stimulation and demand creation.

To begin with, though President Obama has done his level best to desensitize us to large amounts of government spending, $1 billion is a substantial sum of tax dollars. However, in auto industry terms, it is merely a drop in the bucket and was never enough to stimulate the sector. This is not evidence that it was underfunded, this is evidence that it should never have been undertaken in the first place. The program included enough funding for approximately 250,000 transactions nationwide. Compared to June 2009 auto sales, which were historically low, this program would have increased sales less than 3%. For a billion dollars, that is an unacceptable return on investment.

Here's what the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says about Cash for Clunkers:

"Manufacturers' and dealers' employment levels are unlikely to be impacted by the Act. The impact of the Act will most likely not be large enough to increase production by manufacturers, and dealers on average will only be selling an additional 12 vehicles (250,000 estimated number of vehicles sold during the program divided by 19,700 dealers as of early 2009) during the course of the program."

The program was only available to individuals interested in purchasing a new car. The problem with that is most people who drive "clunkers" as their primary vehicle do it out of need. They do it because they cannot afford a new vehicle. These consumers buy used cars. By eliminating used car purchases from the program, Congress eliminated the only chance they had of actually stimulating demand.

The customers that are taking advantage of this program are customers who were planning to trade-in their vehicle anyway as well as customers who do not use the clunker as their primary vehicle. In fact, many customers surveyed have said that they have actually been postponing their purchase to wait for the government money. Many others surveyed have said that they would have traded the vehicle in within the next 1-2 years anyway. This is not a stimulation of the economy. This is transferring demand that already existed; essentially stealing business from future years to inflate, ever so slightly, current business. Taxpayers are subsidizing people who could afford, and were already planning, to purchase a vehicle.

The program puts an undue burden on dealers nationwide. The application process is horrendously complicated and time consuming. It requires dealers to purchase document scanners. It forces them to front large sums of cash to participate as well.

If a customer purchases a car on Monday, that is when the dealership allots the credits (either $3,500 or $4,500) while the dealership gathers the necessary documentation (proof of insurance for the previous 12 months, proof of registration for the same period, a free and clear title, fuel economy comparison, certification of driveability, as well as others.) Once these documents are collected and the transaction is approved by the lender, the dealer must disable the trade-in before applying for the credits from the government. Once the documents have been scanned and submitted, and the online forms filled out (a process that can take over an hour assuming the site doesn't crash which it has every single day since the program began) the submission goes to a status of "under review." This process can take up to 4 days before you receive an answer.

Now and only now does a dealer find out if they will receive money they have already given a customer. If the application is denied, the dealer must figure out why by an electronic code that accompanies the decline message. At this point they may attempt to resubmit and the process begins again. If, however, in this time period, the program has run out of money, the dealer is left holding the bag on the $3,500 or $4,500 given to the customer and is left with a trade-in that has been disabled and cannot be sold. This is bad for small business and displays a fundamental misunderstanding of the burdens of car dealers.

This program has met none of its stated goals and may do more harm to the auto industry than good. It has cost too much money and now may cost more with little to show for it. This, once again, displays all the evidence you need to know that government should stay out of business.

Thursday, May 14, 2009

Opportunism At Its Finest: Democrats on Torture

The debate over torture, or the use of Enhanced Interrogation Techniques (EITs) has reached almost comedic proportions. For months that have stretched into years, Democrats and the American Left has absolutely vilified the Bush administration and its hardworking intelligence officials for participation in such acts. Only now is the truth beginning to come out. Not only did Democrats know about these EITs, they implicitly approved of its use. Now they are calling it illegal forms of torture and threatening investigations, and worse, prosecutions. The outrage is beginning to sound an awful lot like hypocrisy.

This is certainly not a comfortable topic to discuss. No one likes torture. But then, no one is advocating a position of pro-torture. The argument has never been that torture is good and should be used more frequently. The argument is that EITs are sometimes required, dirty as they may be, in times of dire circumstances. It is unbelievably naive to think that we may never be required to do that which is unpalatable. In life, sometimes we are required to do things that we would rather not have to do, but in order to ensure our survival and our livelihood, we must be willing to do what is necessary against an evil segment of a peaceful religion the likes of which we have never seen. This is not to say that we do anything that is necessary. We weigh the benefits against the costs; the gain against the loss; the fairness; the justness.

This should be done in an open and fair discussion so that a position can be developed and this is exactly what the Bush administration had tried to engage in by developing cohesive legal opinions on the these policies and briefing Congressional leaders on them as far back as 2002. When one raises a position and is unchallenged by their opponents, the only conclusion that one can come to is that they agree. This is what Congressional Democrats left the administration with in these early days of a post-9/11 world, until they decided to pull the rug out from under the administration.

Now for the hypocrisy. Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi has recently railed against the Bush administration for their participation and legal justification for these EIT policies, even going so far as threatening to investigate and, if she deems appropriate, prosecute egregious offenses. This is all quite ironic considering the fact that she has been aware of and, by her silence, complicit in such methods since 2002.

Speaker Pelosi was told at the 2002 briefing about the use of the EITs and "on a bipartisan basis, asked if the CIA needed more support from Congress to carry out its mission" according to former Rep Porter Goss who was also a part of the briefing. This account is supported by CIA sources who say Speaker Pelosi "questioned whether we were doing enough" to extract information.

There's more. Not only was she informed about the administrations position on EITs, she was also, according to Obama administration officials, informed of its specific application to a named detainee. On May 5, CIA Director Panetta, in a report to Congress, testified regarding the CIA's meeting with Speaker Pelosi calling it a "Briefing on EITs including use of EITs on Abu Zubaydah, background on [legal] authorities, and a description of the particular EITs that had been employed." This is the exact thing that she had denied knowledge of. How convenient. I'm glad the CIA writes things down at least.

Her defense has taken a variety of turns, beginning with the assertion that she did not recollect that meeting at all. Once that was debunked, she stated that, "I can say flat-out, they never told us that these enhanced interrogations were being used." After more sources came forward, including aides from the Speaker's own office and the Panetta report referenced above, her story changed again, morphing into a claim that she was powerless to act.

Powerless? The most powerful person in the House of Representatives is claiming that the Speaker of the House is powerless? Now THAT is a revelation. Granted, she was not the Speaker in 2002, but she was still the most powerful individual in Congress for the Democratic Party. Now I think if I were one of her constituents, I would ask for my money back. How can someone that is elected to such a high office claim that she was powerless to even present a contrarian viewpoint? No one is asking her to physically go out to secret CIA prisons and confront agents face to face and go Jack Bauer on them. She was simply to state her opinion. If she is too scared or weak to do that, as a citizen, I would remove her from office. How can someone like this be trusted with the responsibility of advocating for me if she cannot effectively advocate for herself?

As recently as today, she has changed her story once again, saying that the CIA was dishonest and withheld information from her in their briefings. Even this argument however does not exonerate her from her responsibility as an elected government official to speak for what she believes in.

Do I believe any of Speaker Pelosi's explanation for her actions? I do not. It barely passes the laugh test. She wasn't afraid or powerless; she has been proven to have attended the meetings and even if the CIA withheld information, she had enough to understand the proposals and object if she saw fit. The problem is that she agreed with the President that he should do what was necessary. Ironically, in 2002 she actually asked the CIA if there was more that they could do. She advocated for more enhanced interrogation techniques. Does that sound like the request of someone who fundamentally believes that we were engaging in torture? The heinous part is that, in a quite stunning display of opportunism, she only changed her position when it became politically expedient to do so; when she saw a wave of public opinion that she could capitalize on to hurt the Republicans. How dishonorable.

This week more has come out. Senator Schumer is quoted as saying:

"We ought to be reasonable about this. I think there are probably very few people in this room or in America who would say that torture should never, ever be used, particularly if thousands of lives are at stake.....If we knew that there was a nuclear bomb hidden in an American city and we believed that some kind of torture, fairly severe maybe, would give us a chance of finding that bomb before it went off, my guess is most Americans and most senators, maybe all, would say, Do what you have to do."

Does Speaker Pelosi think Sen. Schumer is unfit for office? Should he be investigated too?

I know that this is a controversial issue and one that should be discussed with the full breadth of openness and reason. What I cannot understand and do not subscribe to is the vitriolic, self-righteous condemnation of Democrats who are as complicit as anyone else in the Bush administration with regard to the policies that were developed and employed in a post-9/11 world. I know there is hatred for President Bush that has permeated not only our government but our society as a whole, some justified, some over the top. But this is not a justifiable reason for the shape that this debate has taken on. I am all for a lively and honest debate of relevant issues, but do not come to me with your fake outrage. Honestly, should we expect anything less from our elected officials on both sides of the aisle?